Category Archives: Review

Berapa penutupan #IDX di EOY2019 ?

Posted on October 31, 2019 | Leave a comment

#kafein masuk kembali dlm range 6210-6350, bahkan #idx sempat mendekati batas atas 6350 sebelum pada akhirnya kembali tergerus turun masif kemarin dan mulai dekati batas bawah 6210 ! #eido yg jg semalam terpukul hingga keluar dari range 25-28 dgn tutup di 2496 -2.73% membuat potensi idx terpukul keluar dari 6210 jg semakin mungkin, yg berarti idx kembali potensi uji kembali support 6022.

Selain itu indikator #cds yg jg nyaman bertahan dibawah 80, saat ini bertahan di level 76, jg semakin empuk buat aksi jual bagi *big investor*, krn bisa jual stok dlm jumlah besar dan tampung kembali dibawah.

Sehingga menjelang akhir tahun 2019, maka berapa penutupan #idx ?
moderate : 6210 – 6350
optimis : 6547 or better
pesimis : 6022 or below

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Rekap Laba (-Rugi) Emiten 9M19 vs 9M18

Posted on October 27, 2019 | Leave a comment

Rekap Laba (-Rugi) Emiten 9M19 vs 9M18

*BANK & FINANCE*
• BBRI Rp24.78t vs Rp23.47t
• BBCA Rp20.92t vs Rp18.51t
• BMRI Rp20.25t vs Rp18.09t
• BBNI Rp11.97t vs Rp11.44t
• PNBN Rp2.39t vs Rp2.11t
• BDMN Rp2.17t vs Rp2.69t
• BTPN Rp1.95t vs Rp1.62t
• BFIN Rp1.09t vs Rp1.09t
• AGRO Rp15.3m vs Rp166m
• PNBS Rp8.27m vs Rp11.77m

*TELCO, TECH & MEDIA*
• LINK Rp773m vs Rp816m
• MARI Rp23.9m vs Rp25.3m
• ISAT limited review

*CONSUMER & PHARMACY*
• HMSP Rp10.2t vs Rp9.69t
• UNVR Rp5.51t vs Rp7.28t
• MYOR Rp1.09t vs Rp1.10t
• SIDO Rp578m vs Rp480m
• KINO Rp447m vs Rp105m
• ROTI Rp212m vs Rp103m
• CLEO Rp94.0m vs Rp46.8m
• HOKI Rp76.2m vs Rp70.8m
• ADES Rp46.9m vs Rp35.5m

*RETAIL*

*PROPERTY & RELATED*
• BEST Rp211m vs Rp153m
• ARNA Rp160m vs Rp116m
• DILD Rp82.9m vs Rp116m

*CONSTRUCTION*
• IDPR Rp10.5m vs Rp31.5m

*INFRASTRUCTURE RELATED*
• PGAS $129jt vs $244jt
• AKRA Rp565m vs Rp1.29t
• IPCC Rp111m vs Rp147m

*AUTO & HEAVY EQUIPMENT*
• AUTO Rp512m vs Rp414m
• MASA -$13.5jt vs $565rb

*MANUFACTURING*
• FASW Rp806m vs Rp867m
• KBLI Rp260m vs Rp105m
• PBID Rp148m vs Rp247m
• ISSP Rp122m vs Rp15.5m
• TOTO Rp89.8m vs Rp230m
• JECC Rp70.9m vs Rp75.8m
• BRPT audit

*TRADE & SERVICES*
• BIRD Rp229m vs Rp335m
• HEAL Rp210m vs Rp110m
• PSSI $7.30jt vs $12.32jt

*OIL & MINING RELATED*
• PTBA Rp3.10t vs Rp3.93t
• ANTM Rp561m vs Rp631m
• APEX $18.4jt vs -$34.7jt
• KKGI $4.18jt vs $2.42jt
• INCO $160rb vs $55.2jt

*AGRICULTURE & POULTRY*
• SGRO audit

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#kafein #USD vs #ITMG ?

Posted on August 31, 2019 | Leave a comment

#kafein #USD vs #ITMG ?

investasi pada usd belakangan ini hanya bergerak terbatas saja, yaitu kenaikan berkisar dibawah 200rp, walau diprediksikan bisa capai resisten psikologis 15000 (+800), pergerakannya yg kurang aktraktif menjadikan *saat ini lebih menarik pada saham #itmg* walau harga coal dan chartnya ada potensi melemah yg seharusnya jadi entry level yg menarik, sedangkan trigger positifnya lebih banyak dimana (1) bbrp tahun terakhir ini itmg bagikan deviden interim di bln november (2) program buyback emiten.

Track emiten yg gcg ini juga telah ditunjukkan ketika harga coal ambruk dr level tertingginya hingga ke level terendah tetap konsisten bagi #deviden.

dari #kafein kumpulkan data hingga close akhir pekan ini itmg telah menyelesaikan kenaikan estimasi usd kita, hanya sayangnya #latepost sehingga potensi ini terlewatkan

Stoploss (SL) bagi itmg ada di level 11700, sdgkan support2 diatasnya ada di 12675 12225, target short di 14000 dan medium/long di 16000.

Note : tetap cermati pergerakan harga coal dan efektif news buyback bagi itmg.

Chart dan data pendukung ada di sini :
https://www.instagram.com/p/B10FPJ2phbE/?igshid=6ef4gclu8wsb

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acuan korelasi antara #EIDO vs #IDX

Posted on August 7, 2019 | Leave a comment

#kafein sbg acuan buat teman2, korelasi #eido vs #idx :

#idx 6210-6350, eido 25-26
#idx 6000-5800, eido 22
#idx 5800-5500, eido 18 atau mendekati.

#kafein penurunan market sebelumnya diawali dgn indikator #IndoCDS (credit default swap) Indo yg nyaman di harga 80 or below terhitung sejak tanggal 22 Juli 2019, dimana masalahnya indikator yg menunjukkan ekonomi Indo baik, tentu menjadi asik buat hedge fund besar untuk melakukan aksi profit takingnya secara besar-besaran, hal ini dapat dilihat dari net sell asing yg besar dalam koreksi ini, karena banyaknya investor yg bersedia untuk melakukan aksi beli, hal inilah yg pada akhirnya sering menjadikan market terkoreksi cukup masif, dimana #IDX pada tgl 22 juli masih berada di level 6433, sedangkan ketika terjadi aksi jual #IDX bahkan sempat menembus support naik #kafein di 6210 setelah mencetak low 6022 (-6.3%) sebelum pada akhirnya ditutup pada hari ini di level 6204, masih dibawah level 6210, sehingga kekuatiran koreksi masih mendominasi, terlebih selama eido juga masih tertahan dibawah level 25, sehingga bisa dikatakan #idx bergerak dalam kisaran 6210-6000.

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Rekap Laba (-Rugi) Emiten 1H19 vs 1H18

Posted on July 30, 2019 | Leave a comment

Rekap Laba (-Rugi) Emiten 1H19 vs 1H18

BANK & FINANCE
• BMRI Rp13.53t vs Rp12.18t
• BBCA Rp12.86t vs Rp11.42t
• BBNI Rp7.63t vs Rp7.44t
• SRTG Rp3.17t vs -Rp1.30t
• BDMN Rp1.81t vs Rp2.00t
• PNBN Rp1.59t vs Rp1.28t
• NISP Rp1.53t vs Rp1.33t
• BBTN Rp1.31t vs Rp1.42t
• ADMF Rp949m vs Rp874m
• PNLF Rp939m vs Rp763m
• BJTM Rp816m vs Rp758m
• BJBR Rp800m vs Rp901m
• BNII Rp757m vs Rp933m
• BNLI Rp711m vs Rp289m
• BFIN Rp690m vs Rp703m
• BTPS Rp610m vs Rp449m
• TURI Rp309m vs Rp280m
• CFIN Rp162m vs Rp146m
• BBKP Rp120m vs Rp260m
• WOMF Rp78.1m vs Rp105m
• BBHI Rp9.26m vs -Rp19.1m
• PNBS Rp5.11m vs Rp8.04m

TELCO, TECH & MEDIA
• TLKM Rp11.08t vs Rp8.69t
• MNCN Rp1.22t vs Rp703m
• TOWR Rp993m vs Rp1.08t
• LINK Rp527m vs Rp547m
• MTDL Rp152m vs Rp115m
• MSIN Rp126m vs Rp114m
• ASGR Rp56.8m vs Rp87.9m
• MARI Rp14.07m vs Rp17.73m
• CENT Rp12.1m vs Rp68.6m
• KBLV -Rp78.0m vs -Rp1.46t
• FREN -Rp1.07t vs -Rp1.65t

CONSUMER & PHARMACY
• HMSP Rp6.77t vs Rp6.11t
• GGRM Rp4.28t vs Rp3.55t
• UNVR Rp3.69t vs Rp3.51t
• ICBP Rp2.57t vs Rp2.29t
• INDF Rp2.54t vs Rp1.96t
• KLBF Rp1.26t vs Rp1.21t
• MYOR Rp807m vs Rp736m
• ULTJ Rp508m vs Rp359m
• MLBI Rp486m vs Rp464m
• SIDO Rp374m vs Rp292m
• TSPC Rp331m vs Rp339m
• GOOD Rp218m vs Rp231m
• DVLA Rp114m vs Rp108m
• ROTI Rp101m vs Rp40.0m
• TCID Rp94.7m vs Rp93.7m
• CLEO Rp63.9m vs Rp27.7m
• HOKI Rp56.4m vs Rp50.5m
• CAMP Rp31.7m vs Rp32.5m
• ADES Rp30.6m vs Rp21.6m
• WIIM Rp8.55m vs Rp18.5m
• INAF -Rp24.3m vs Rp253jt

RETAIL
• LPPF Rp1.16t vs Rp1.34t
• RALS Rp590m vs Rp486m
• MAPI Rp499m vs Rp389m
• ACES Rp474m vs Rp426m
• MAPA Rp366m vs Rp32.4m
• DNET Rp204m vs Rp85.3m
• FAST Rp157m vs Rp102m
• PZZA Rp99.6m vs Rp81.9m
• MIDI Rp89.0m vs Rp53.8m
• MAPB Rp57.8m vs Rp59.5m
• RANC 24.7m vs Rp21.3m
• CSAP Rp17.6m vs Rp30.3m
• ECII Rp12.7m vs Rp8.09m

PROPERTY & RELATED
• INPP Rp1.86t vs -Rp38.1m
• PWON Rp1.36t vs Rp1.13t
• DMAS Rp626m vs Rp93.8m
• JRPT Rp474m vs Rp442m
• CTRA Rp296m vs Rp176m
• MTLA Rp210m vs Rp234m
• MDLN Rp184m vs Rp181m
• PPRO Rp158m vs Rp180m
• ASRI Rp151m vs Rp517m
• SMRA Rp149m vs Rp78.4m
• APLN Rp143m vs Rp61.8m
• BEST Rp114m vs Rp137m
• ARNA Rp102m vs Rp69.6m
• PJAA Rp71.2m vs Rp78.7m
• BKSL Rp41.9m vs Rp50.7m
• SSIA -Rp33.8m vs -Rp56.0m
• IKAI audit

CONSTRUCTION
• WSKT Rp998m vs Rp2.99t
• WIKA Rp891m vs Rp517m
• WSBP Rp377m vs Rp691m
• PTPP Rp363m vs Rp479m
• ADHI Rp215m vs Rp213m
• WEGE Rp182m vs Rp181m
• WTON Rp167m vs Rp160m
• PPRE Rp160m vs Rp146m
• TOTL Rp106m vs Rp123m
• NRCA Rp74.1m vs Rp53.6m
• IDPR Rp67.4jt vs Rp16.26m
• TOPS Rp60.4m vs Rp62.7m
• ACST -Rp404m vs Rp73.4m

INFRASTRUCTURE RELATED
• JSMR Rp1.06t vs Rp1.04t
• POWR $55.4jt vs $40.3jt
• INTP Rp640m vs Rp355m
• SMGR Rp485m vs Rp971m
• AKRA Rp391m vs Rp1.12t
• BUKK Rp259m vs Rp194m
• BNBR Rp223m vs -Rp1.06t
• META Rp92.9m vs Rp135m
• IPCC Rp90.6m vs Rp94.9m
• IPCM Rp49.9m vs Rp61.4m
• SMBR Rp7.56m vs Rp24.1m
• SMCB -Rp278m vs -Rp539m

AUTO & HEAVY EQUIPMENT
• ASII Rp9.80t vs Rp10.38t
• UNTR Rp5.57t vs Rp5.48t
• IMAS Rp463m vs Rp37.3m
• AUTO Rp246m vs Rp206m
• SMSM Rp234m vs Rp221m
• GJTL Rp164m vs -Rp93.9m
• CARS Rp85.0m vs Rp143m
• BOGA Rp3.93m vs Rp1.26m
• GDYR -$2.32jt vs $1.02jt

MANUFACTURING
• INKP $147jt vs $340jt
• TKIM $105jt vs $148jt
• SRIL $63.25jt vs $56.33jt
• FASW Rp643m vs Rp439m
• KBLI Rp177m vs Rp54.0m
• SCCO Rp139m vs Rp109m
• VOKS Rp116m vs Rp24.9m
• PBID Rp107m vs Rp138m
• SPTO Rp101m vs Rp93.7m
• SPMA Rp72.4m vs Rp28.6m
• ISSP Rp52.4m vs Rp13.1m
• JECC Rp45.1m vs Rp49.5m
• MARK Rp45.1m vs Rp36.5m
• MOLI Rp31.5m vs Rp32.9m
• BOLT Rp21.6m vs Rp39.8m
• KBLM Rp12.1m vs Rp2.42m
• NIKL $2.41jt vs -$1.50jt
• BRPT audit

TRADE & SERVICES
• MIKA Rp359m vs Rp321m
• MPMX Rp250m vs Rp3.92t
• SOCI $9.98jt vs $4.04jt
• HEAL Rp125m vs Rp70.0m
• LTLS Rp108m vs Rp64.3m
• IMJS Rp106m vs Rp111m
• SHIP $6.36jt vs $4.08jt
• PRDA Rp81.7m vs Rp60.8m
• TMAS Rp77.1m vs Rp32.3m
• HITS $6.44jt vs $7.54jt
• ASSA Rp60.6m vs Rp75.6m
• TPMA $3.27jt vs $3.66jt
• MBSS $728rb vs -$8.92jt
• DYAN Rp5.92m vs Rp15.8m
• SILO Rp4.89m vs -R25.1m
• LEAD -$6.22jt vs -$5.19jt
• SMDR -$21.9jt vs $3.30jt

OIL & MINING RELATED
• BYAN $179jt vs $272jt
• INDY $12.7jt vs $76.3jt
• TCPI Rp156m vs Rp102m
• ELSA Rp155m vs Rp128m
• ZINC Rp113m vs Rp83.0m
• PTRO $7.98jt vs $7.44jt
• ESSA $4.23jt vs $3.80jt
• DOID $4.07jt vs $18.3jt
• KKGI $2.28jt vs $220rb
• BRMS $933rb vs -$10.6jt
• KOPI Rp11.3m vs -Rp9.74m
• INCO audit
• DKFT audit
• BIPI limited review

AGRICULTURE & POULTRY
• CPIN Rp1.73t vs Rp2.44t
• JPFA Rp829m vs Rp1.11t
• TBLA Rp359m vs Rp349m
• MAIN Rp146m vs Rp155m
• BISI Rp88.0m vs Rp9.50m
• AALI Rp43.7m vs Rp784m
• SIPD Rp31.0m vs Rp4.04m
• SKLT Rp21.9m vs Rp14.1m
• LSIP Rp10.5m vs Rp225m
• DSFI Rp7.29m vs Rp4.32m
• SIMP -Rp310m vs Rp57.1m
• CPRO -Rp323m vs Rp1.94t
• BWPT -Rp491m vs Rp12.9m

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