Category Archives: Review

Menakar potensi right issue (HMETD) #BBKP

17.05.2021
#kafein menakar potensi right issue (HMETD-6) #BBKP 422

Rups 17 Juni 2021
Nominal 100
Potensi saham RI 35.214.28.984 (1:1)
Last low price : 238
Last price big volume (institusi buy) 198-286

Swing price bbkp :
Batas atas 476
Batas bawah 348
Mid 412* kebetulan mulai dekat.

Right sebelumnya di 180/shr dan nominal 100 sehingga potensi harga exercise ada di 100-180.

Best skenario :
Harga induk 476 dan right di 180, komposisi 1:1
((1*476)+(1*180))/2 = harga ex right = 328

Moderate skenario:
Harga induk 412 harga right 140 dan 1:1
((1*412)+(1*140))/2 = 276

Below skenario:
harga induk 348, harga right 100 dan 1:1
((1*348)+(1*100))/2 = 224

Tapi waspadai jika right dilakukan diatas tgl 26 juli 2021 krn sistem autorejection akan kembali normal, alias arb tidak lagi -7%, sehingga dgn harga bbkp disini berarti berlaku arb -25%.

Harga teori right(est) ; potensi arb -7% (hari)
Best skenario 328 ; 6 hari
Moderate 276 ; 7 hari
Below 224 ; 8 hari

Dilihat dari data2 yg ada, kemungkinan besar right bbkp masih memberikan profit bagi investor, karena potensi koreksi harga hingga 180-140 agak krg rasional.

Watch entri buy range 412 – 348. (YN/YJ)

meraba porsi dividen Bigbank bumn

updated 07 mar 2021
#kafein meraba porsi dividen Bigbank #bumn yg pada tahun lalu dibagikan lebih cepat di akhir feb 2020.

*Agenda RUPS BigBank* :
• 15 Maret 2021 : RUPST *BMRI*
• 25 Maret 2021 : RUPST *BBRI*
• 29 Maret 2021 : RUPST *BBCA* *BBNI*
(LS/AT)

*Kinerja 2020 bigbank #bumn*
BBNI laba bersih turun 78.7% YoY
BBRI laba bersih turun 45.8% YoY
BMRI laba bersih turun 37.71% YoY

*kafein dividen 2020* :
#BMRI  353/shr  DPR 60%
#BBNI  206/shr  DPR 25%
#BBRI  168/shr  DPR 60%

*kafein EPS 2020* :
#BMRI EPS 367 est. 82 – 220
#BBRI EPS 151 est. 67 – 98
#BBNI EPS 176 est. 44 – 61

‐———————————-
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‐———————————-

DAFTAR INDEKS SAHAM FEBRUARI 2021

*DAFTAR INDEKS SAHAM FEBRUARI 2021*

*Daftar Saham LQ45 Periode 01 Februari 2021 – Juli 2021*

*Masuk* : MEDC, TPIA
*Keluar* : SCMA, SRIL •

*Daftar Saham Marjin Periode 01 Februari 2021 – 28 Februari 2021*

*Masuk :* AMOR, APIC, ASGR, *BDMN,* BELL, BINA, BISI, BNII, CAMP, CASS, CBMF, CFIN, CMNP, *CSRA, DILD,* DUCK, FILM, HEAL, HOKI, IMPC, IPCM, IPOL, IPTV, ITIC, JAYA, LPCK, LUCK, MAPA, MARK, MDKI, *META, NISP,* NRCA, OPMS, PANR, *PANS,* PEHA, PICO, PNIN, PPRE, PTPW, *PYFA,* PZZA, RANC, SGRO, SHIP, SMSM, *SRTG,* TOYS, *TPIA,* TRUK, *TSPC,* UCID

*Keluar :* *AGII, BBKP,* BHIT, *BMTR, BNLI,* BPTR, *CARS,* CCSI, *CENT, DKFT,* DYAN, EAST, *GIAA, GMFI,* INDS, INOV, *KIJA,* KINO, MDLN, MGRO, MLPL, SAME, SILO, TEBE, *WSBP* •

*Daftar Saham IDXBUMN20 Periode 01 Februari 2021 – Juli 2021*

*Masuk* : BRIS
*Keluar* : WEGE •

*Daftar Saham IDX30 Periode 01 Februari 2021 – Juli 2021*

*Masuk* : MDKA, PWON, TBIG, TKIM
*Keluar* : ACES, ERAA, INCO, JPFA •

*Daftar Saham IDX80 Periode 01 Februari 2021 – Juli 2021*

*Masuk* : BEST, DOID, IPTV, LPKR, LPPF, PPRE, PSAB, SSMS, WIIM, WSKT

*Keluar* : APLN, BMTR, CLEO, ISAT, KBLI, MAIN, MTDL, PNBN, SMSM, WTON •

*Daftar Saham IDXHIDIV20 Periode 01 Februari 2021 – Juli 2021*
*Masuk* : DMAS, WSBP
*Keluar* : GGRM, LPPF •

*Daftar Saham KOMPAS100 Periode 01 Februari 2021 – Juli 2021*

*Masuk* : APIC, BFIN, BNGA, BUMI, DOID, IPTV, MPMX, POWR, PPRE, RAJA, SOCI, TBLA, WIIM

*Keluar* : ADHI, BBKP, BMTR, GIAA, HKMU, INAF, IRRA, ISAT, JRPT, KBLI, KINO, SILO, SPTO •

*Daftar Saham PEFINDO25 Periode 01 Februari 2021 – Juli 2021*

*Masuk* : AKRA, APIC, ASSA, BEST, BULL, HEAL, ITMG, KLBF, MAPI, MDKA, MNCN, PTBA, SSMS, TOTL, UNVR

*Keluar* : CLEO, DMAS, ERAA, HKMU, HOKI, ISSP, KBLI, LPPF, MAIN, MSIN, MTDL, PPRE, RALS, SMBR, SSIA •

*Daftar Saham IDXSMC-LIQ Periode 01 Februari 2021 – Juli 2021*

*Masuk* : BEST, BNGA, DSNG, INDY, LINK, LPKR, PNBN, SSMS, TBLA, TOWR

*Keluar* : ADHI, ANTM, ASRI, ELSA, GIAA, INCO, INKP, INTP, ISAT, KINO, MDKA, MYOR, SRIL •

*Daftar Saham IDXV30 Periode 03 Februari 2021 – Agustus 2021*

*Masuk* : AKRA, EXCL, GGRM, INDF, LSIP, PPRE, WIIM

*Keluar* : BMTR, ISAT, MTDL, PNBN, RALS, WSBP, WTON •

*Daftar Saham IDXG30 Periode 03 Februari 2021 – Agustus 2021*

*Masuk* : ADRO, BEST, BSDE, EXCL, ITMG, MNCN, PTPP, PWON, SCMA, TKIM, WEGE, WIKA, WIIM

*Keluar* : AALI, CLEO, ICBP, INDF, MTDL, MYOR, PGAS, PNBN, PTBA, SMSM, SSIA, TLKM, WOOD •

*Daftar Saham IDXQ30 Periode 03 Februari 2021 – Agustus 2021*

*Masuk* : ASII, ITMG, LSIP, TOWR, WIIM

*Keluar* : BBNI, BTPS, CLEO, RALS, SMSM

********************************************************************* *(LS/AT)*

Euforia PilPres US

L#kafein #idx-5233 mulai dekati resist 5239 dgn value market 5T disesi1 ini tp kenaikannya tampak ala kadarnya saja, support 5187 juga baru tembus menjelang siang, kenaikannya mengikuti bursa global yg menguat 2%.

gunakan untuk reduce hingga sos sementara ini hingga esok/jumat dan baru akan kita lihat pekan depan lagi perkembangannya.

Kenaikan bbrp saham juga sudah cukup bagus dan ada yg masih belum capai spt :
#TLKM 2750-2800
#BBRI 3450-3560
#BMRI 6000-6300
#UNVR 8000-8050
#EXCL 2200
#BBCA 30000
#BBTN 1430
and the last&first winner :
#ASII 5500

Rekap Laba/-Rugi Emiten 9M20 vs 9M19

updated : 16.11.2020

Rekap Laba/-Rugi Emiten 9M20 vs 9M19

*BANK & FINANCE*
• BBCA Rp20.03t vs Rp20.92t
• BBRI Rp14.12t vs Rp24.78t
• BMRI Rp14.03t vs Rp20.25t
• BBNI Rp4.32t vs Rp11.97t
• PNBN Rp2.31t vs Rp2.39t
• BNGA Rp1.86t vs Rp2.68t
• BDMN Rp1.48t vs Rp2.59t
• BJBR Rp1.20t vs Rp1.13t
• BBTN Rp1.12t vs Rp801m
• BJTM Rp1.10t vs Rp1.14t
• BNII Rp1.10t vs Rp1.11t
• BFIN Rp521m vs Rp1.09t
• BTPS Rp506m vs Rp976m
• BNLI Rp429m vs Rp1.09tn
• BRIS Rp190m vs Rp56.46m
• WOMF Rp56.25m vs Rp156m
• BBHI Rp48.39m vs -Rp6.71m
• AGRO Rp25.4m vs Rp15.29m
• PNBS Rp244jt vs Rp8.27m
• BEKS -Rp138m vs -Rp108m

*TELCO, TECH & MEDIA*
• TLKM Rp16.68t vs Rp16.46t
• EXCL Rp2.08t vs Rp501m
• TOWR Rp1.91t vs Rp1.60t
• SCMA Rp914m vs Rp1.01t
• TBIG Rp747m vs Rp612m
• LINK Rp699m vs Rp773m
• EMTK Rp476m vs -Rp959m
• MTDL Rp268m vs Rp259m
• BALI Rp50.24m vs Rp31.73m
• ASGR Rp33.67m vs Rp99.96m
• DMMX Rp24.80m vs Rp7.34m
• MARI -Rp15.47m vs Rp22.46m
• KBLV -Rp57.96m vs -Rp25.21m
• ISAT -Rp457m vs -Rp284m
• FREN -Rp1.75t vs -Rp1.64t

*CONSUMER & PHARMACY*
• UNVR Rp5.44t vs Rp5.51t
• GGRM Rp5.65t vs Rp7.24t
• KLBF Rp2.03t vs Rp1.91t
• MYOR Rp1.56t vs Rp1.09t
• SIDO Rp641m vs Rp578m
• TSPC Rp496m vs Rp416m
• GOOD Rp212m vs Rp298m
• KINO Rp162m vs Rp447m
• MLBI Rp153m vs Rp758m
• DVLA Rp147m vs Rp177m
• ROTI Rp127m vs Rp212m
• WIIM Rp109m vs Rp15.40m
• CLEO Rp94.28m vs Rp94.02m
• KAEF Rp37.19m vs Rp41.83m
• HOKI Rp28.59m vs Rp76.16m
• PYFA Rp16.12m vs Rp4.92m
• AISA -Rp59.56m vs -Rp150m
• RMBA -Rp564m vs Rp11.25m

*RETAIL*
• AMRT Rp638m vs Rp650m
• ERAA Rp295m vs Rp165m
• MIDI Rp137m vs Rp141m
• RANC Rp64.93m vs Rp36.42m
• CSAP Rp60.63m vs Rp40.99m
• PZZA -Rp8.63m vs Rp149m
• RALS -Rp95.22m vs Rp612m
• HERO -Rp339m vs -Rp6.68m
• LPPF -Rp617m vs Rp1.19t

*PROPERTY & RELATED*
• LPCK Rp612m vs Rp346m
• PWON Rp601m vs Rp2.15t
• BSDE Rp469m vs Rp2.31t
• DMAS Rp302m vs Rp759m
• SMRA -Rp12.25m vs Rp315m
• BEST -Rp107m vs Rp211m
• SSIA -Rp198m vs -Rp8.12m
• PJAA -Rp252m vs Rp154m
• KIJA -Rp266m vs Rp66.06m
• LPKR -Rp2.34t vs -Rp1.72t

*CONSTRUCTION*
• WEGE Rp131m vs Rp303m
• TOTL Rp85.69m vs Rp143m
• NRCA Rp65.52m vs Rp106m
• WTON Rp54.92m vs Rp303m
• WIKA Rp50.19m vs Rp1.35t
• PTPP Rp26.37m vs Rp519m
• PPRE Rp16.29m vs Rp201m
• ADHI Rp15.38m vs Rp351m
• TOPS -Rp68.38m vs -Rp29.22m
• ACST -Rp753m vs -Rp752m

*INFRASTRUCTURE RELATED*
• SMGR Rp1.54t vs Rp1.29t
• INTP Rp1.12t vs Rp1.17t
• AKRA Rp665m vs Rp565m
• CMNP Rp385m vs Rp512m
• BUKK Rp303m vs Rp554m
• IPCM Rp69.74m vs Rp68.82m
• SMBR -Rp113m vs Rp22.72m

*AUTO & HEAVY EQUIPMENT*
• ASII Rp14.04t vs Rp15.87t
• UNTR Rp5.34t vs Rp8.64t
• SMSM Rp353m vs Rp408m
• HEXA $11.35jt vs $23.23jt
• GJTL -Rp104m vs Rp139m
• AUTO -Rp243m vs Rp512m

*MANUFACTURING*
• SRIL $73.79jt vs $72.22jt
• PBID Rp269m vs Rp148m
• FASW Rp229m vs Rp806m
• BRPT $11.29jt vs $12.47jt
• MARK Rp89.97m vs Rp65.49m
• PTSN $4.33jt vs $2.06jt
• ISSP Rp49.44m vs Rp122m
• JECC Rp12.33m vs Rp70.93m
• KBLM Rp1.03m vs Rp25.81m
• NIKL -$1.05jt vs $1.84jt
• GJTL -Rp104m vs Rp139m
• ESSA -$14.53jt vs $4.54jt
• TPIA -$19.73jt vs $31.45jt

*TRADE & SERVICES*
• BULL $40.84jt vs $12.77jt
• MIKA Rp525m vs Rp532m
• EPMT Rp436m vs Rp471m
• PRDA Rp122m vs Rp121m
• SMDR $5.26jt vs -$21.44jt
• MPMX -Rp10.88m vs Rp379m
• SILO -Rp48.79m vs Rp42.88m
• BIRD -Rp156m vs Rp229m
• SAME -Rp458m vs -Rp92.98m
• CMPP -Rp1.71t vs Rp422m
• GMFI -$161jt vs $9.41jt
• GIAA -$1.07m vs $122jt

*OIL & MINING RELATED*
• PTBA Rp1.73t vs Rp3.10t
• ADRO $109jt vs $406jt
• BYAN $108jt vs $209jt
• INCO $76.64jt vs $160rb
• ANTM Rp836m vs Rp641m
• ITMG $39.99jt vs $101jt
• HRUM $25.74jt vs $16.05jt
• FIRE Rp16.75m vs Rp13.37m
• KKGI -$7.51jt vs $4.18jt
• TINS -Rp255m vs -Rp176m
• BUMI -$137jt vs $76.07jt

*AGRICULTURE & POULTRY*
• CPIN Rp2.28t vs Rp2.56t
• AALI Rp582m vs Rp111m
• SSMS Rp265m vs -Rp1.37m
• JPFA Rp257m vs Rp1.04t
• DSNG Rp164m vs Rp63.09m
• SIPD Rp31.29m vs Rp61.55m
• CPRO Rp28.61m vs -Rp323m
• SGRO Rp17.77m vs Rp16.40m
• GZCO -Rp163m vs -Rp400m
• BWPT -Rp742m vs -Rp775m